Summary
Every number is secondary unless labelled.
- Marble races, bouncing-ball loops and treadmill races are the best-known simple formats. Large view counts are mostly on YouTube and TikTok.
- One public account races stick figures named by birth month or zodiac sign: @laststickstanding (Last Stick Standing). It is the closest match to Sean's example; no second account found.
- Most-cited hooks: early payoff, open question, seamless loop, clear rule.
- Brand deals are the main income in the sources. A digital race kit is the likeliest first product.
- Recommended lead: named-contestant races, 15 seconds or under, looping, with a season table.
Labels Labels: Official, Research, Secondary, Unverified, Inference. "Hypothesis" marks our untested ideas.
1. Accounts found
19 accounts: marble races, bouncing-ball loops, treadmill races, object shows. Most numbers are YouTube, TikTok or aggregator figures.
Instagram counts were mostly not public. The only one is Andreas Wannerstedt's (2019 to 2020). None here is a current count.
| # | Account / name | Platform | Format | Followers / views (source, date) | Why it works | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andreas Wannerstedt ("Oddly Satisfying") | Instagram (handle not confirmed) | Looping 3D motion: jelly strings, pendulums, Rube Goldberg-style contraptions | 440K (VICE, c. 2019; unverifiable, source link dead); 600K+ (Creative Review, 30 Sep 2019); 663K (CraveFX, c. 2020) | Seamless loops. Made in under a day. Meme reposts spread it. | Creative Review, CraveFX |
| 2 | Jelle's Marble Runs | YouTube (Instagram and TikTok not confirmed) | Marble sport with commentary: Marble League, Marble Rally, Marbula One | 1.51M subs and 213M+ views (Wikipedia, 26 Aug 2026) | Commentary gives winners, rivalries, seasons. | Wikipedia, Supanova |
| 3 | Crazy Marble Race | YouTube | Algodoo (2D physics) marble tournaments, knock-outs and survival | 228K subs and 95.7M views (vidIQ, 5 Jul 2025). Unverified aggregator. | Named rounds and brackets. Each ball is a contestant. | vidIQ |
| 4 | Jack Spero ("The Amazing Marble Race") | YouTube | Algodoo marble races, main series plus one-offs | No figures found | Series name gives a repeat hook. | TV Tropes |
| 5 | Carson Jay Marbles | YouTube | Marble racing content | No figures found | Named series. | Fandom |
| 6 | Truck of Marbles ("Happy Truck") | YouTube | Marble races, plus content using existing kids' franchise characters | c. 29.7K subs (aggregator, undated). Unverified. | Borrowed characters carry search traffic. | Aggregator; URL not recorded, re-check |
| 7 | Lucky Marble Race | YouTube | Simulation marble races, including stickman battles | 3,700+ subs, 1M+ views (directory, undated). Unverified. | Stickman battles add a character element. | Thoughtleaders (sign-up wall) |
| 8 | satisfying.ba11s ("Will the Ball Escape?") | YouTube Shorts | Colour-changing balls bounce in a circle; each bounce plays a note of a melody | 38M views in 5 months (video of 29 Nov 2023, via Know Your Meme); 67M in 4 months (video of 28 Dec 2023) | Each bounce plays a sound; the ending keeps viewers waiting. | Know Your Meme |
| 9 | Jack's Physics | YouTube | Bouncing-ball genre | 945K views on one video (Nov 2023, KYM) | Same format as #8. | Know Your Meme |
| 10 | CodeCraftedPhysics | YouTube | Bouncing-ball genre | 4.4M views on one video (Jan 2024, KYM) | Same format as #8. | Know Your Meme |
| 11 | FuncFlow | YouTube | Bouncing-ball genre | No figures found | Same format as #8. | Know Your Meme |
| 12 | Treadmill Guy (@thetreadmillguy) | TikTok and YouTube | Toy cars and objects race on a running treadmill | 4.1M TikTok followers; 2.1M YouTube subs (KYM, c. 2023). Unverified, two years old. | Clear winner each run. | Know Your Meme |
| 13 | Treadmill Championship Racing (@treadmillracing) | TikTok and YouTube | Same treadmill race, with championship framing | 431K TikTok followers; 11.9K YouTube subs (KYM, c. 2023). Unverified. | Season and leaderboard framing. | Know Your Meme |
| 14 | @treadmillpoolballracing | TikTok | Pool balls racing in lanes on a treadmill | 331K followers (KYM, undated) | Closest to Sean's ball race idea. | Know Your Meme |
| 15 | Ball Battle (chewnip) | Web animation, YouTube (channel not confirmed) | Object show: ball characters and an "All-Ball" antagonist | No subscriber figures found. Premiered 25 Nov 2021. | Named characters, running story. Long-form. | TV Tropes |
| 16 | Battle for Dream Island (jacknjellify) | YouTube | Object-show contest between named characters | c. 3M subs (Plugged In, undated); 1.12M subs (EverybodyWiki, Feb 2022). Unverified. | Named cast and knock-out format. | Plugged In, EverybodyWiki |
| 17 | Jammable marble-race network (affiliate TikTok accounts) | TikTok | Marble-race footage with AI music covers | Network over 1B views; affiliates c. 60M to 120M views (Shortimize, 22 Aug 2024). Unverified vendor blog. | One format runs across many accounts. | Shortimize |
| 18 | Algicosathlon series (Cary Huang, 2012 onward) | Web animation, YouTube | Algodoo stick-figure ragdolls in luck-based contests for a prize | No current figures found | Close to named racers. | TV Tropes |
| 19 | Marble Station | YouTube | Marble races | c. 1.7M subs (Brand Industry article, undated). Unverified; channel not checked. | Shows marble niche scale. | Search-result summary |
Gaps and cautions
- Only one account so far races stick figures named by birth month or zodiac sign: @laststickstanding. Its views are not public.
- No standalone short-form ball-versus-ball account with unique powers was found. Ball Battle (#15) is the closest, and it is long-form.
- A viral "automatic ball sorting" video was a Blender simulation (Know Your Meme).
2. Hook and retention techniques
Sixteen techniques with evidence strength. Instagram does not publish ranking weights; only YouTube's pages are official.
The "70% three-second retention" and "80% completion" benchmarks conflict and are not platform-published. No study tested simple animation; the closest is on ASMR and curiosity.
| # | Technique | Why it works | Example for a simple-animation account | Sources and confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thumb-stopping first frame (payoff visible in 1 to 3 s) | Viewers decide fast. | First frame shows two balls about to collide. | Official YouTube blog, Sydney Morgan; secondary blogs repeat it |
| 2 | Open mid-action (start on the result, explain later) | No slow intro. | Open on the winner, then rewind. | Secondary Virlo, Jelly Marketing, Go-Viral; inference for animation |
| 3 | Open loop (state the question, answer later) | Curiosity comes from a gap. | "Which ball wins? Answer at the end." | Research Loewenstein 1994, Psychological Bulletin (summaries only) |
| 4 | Seamless loop (last frame matches first) | No visible end, so one view becomes several. | Balls end where they started (see Figure 3). | Official YouTube blog; Secondary Creative Review, Laughing Squid on Wannerstedt |
| 5 | Rewatch as a goal (replays count) | Replays raise watch time. | A 15 s loop watched three times beats a 60 s video once. | Official YouTube Help: a Short counts each time it starts or replays. Instagram replay signal: Secondary |
| 6 | Visible progress or countdown | Shows how close the end is (Zeigarnik effect). | A progress track; "3 balls left". | Research Zeigarnik 1927 (summary, The Paris Review). |
| 7 | Prediction vote ("who wins?") | Viewers commit to a guess, then check it. | Pause at 2 s and prompt "pick a winner". | Inference from #3 |
| 8 | Name-based identity | Viewers back one runner. | Racers named by sign; viewers watch "their" sign. | Inference Last Stick Standing uses sign picks; its views are not public. Weak signal: Instagram star-sign sticker test (Social Media Today). |
| 9 | Comment bait (ask for a guess, pick or name) | Comments and sends are signals. | "Comment your sign and we'll see if you win." | Secondary Fanpage Karma (Mosseri's listed factors, second-hand). |
| 10 | Fast cuts and steady motion (change every 1 to 2 s) | Holds attention. | Each merge or collision lands on a new beat. | Secondary Go-Viral, CapCut guides. |
| 11 | Satisfying sound (crisp sounds matched to motion) | Crisp sounds are common ASMR triggers. | A crisp "tink" per merge; a soft pop per multiply. | Research Barratt and Davis 2015, PeerJ (self-reported survey). |
| 12 | Sound-off design (on-screen text early) | Many watch muted. | "Only 1 ball survives" over the first frame. | Secondary blog guides. "85% watch muted" unverified. |
| 13 | Short length (15 s or under) | Short clips finish and loop more. | A 12 to 15 s merge or race, with a loop. | Secondary Zebracat and Metricool figures, unverified; originals not found. |
| 14 | Escalation or mid-clip twist (about two-thirds through) | A second beat stops drop-off. | A ball gains a new power at 60% of the run. | Secondary YouTube-focused retention advice. Unverified. |
| 15 | Clear first-frame identity | Viewers know what they get. | Same colours, camera and sound every time. | Official YouTube blog, Sydney Morgan |
| 16 | Cliffhanger into a series | Tension pulls viewers to the next post. | "Part 2 tomorrow: the red ball gets a power." | Inference from Zeigarnik (#6); secondary guides recommend it |
Sources for this section
- YouTube blog, Sydney Morgan interview on hooks and loops: blog.youtube (fetched 13 Oct 2026)
- YouTube Help, Shorts length and view counting: support.google.com
- Loewenstein (1994), Psychological Bulletin 116(1): 75-98. Barratt and Davis (2015), PeerJ 3:e851: doi. Poerio et al. (2018), PLoS ONE: eprints
- Secondary: Fanpage Karma, Lindsey Gamble, Go-Viral, Social Media Today
3. Monetisation: how these accounts make money
Thirteen methods. Instagram publishes no payout rates; most figures come from marketing blogs. Treat every number as an assumption.
Platform payouts (rows 1, 3, 4) are small; plan on near zero. Brand deals are the main income in the sources. Digital kit sales volume is unknown. No verified income figure exists for this format.
| # | Method | How it pays | Realistic range | Status | Fit for us | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gifts (Stars) on Reels and Live | Viewers buy Stars; about $0.01 per Star to creator | Reportedly from about 500 followers; selected creators only | Secondary | Low. Small money. | Meta Creators, SocialCrawl |
| 2 | Subscriptions | Fans pay monthly for extra content | Reportedly about 10,000 followers and a professional account | Secondary | Medium later. | ContentStudio, Minter |
| 3 | Bonuses (Reels performance payments) | Invite-only lump sums tied to views | Reportedly $50 to several hundred dollars a month, unpredictable | Secondary, conflicting | Do not plan income on it. | StackInfluence |
| 4 | Direct per-1,000-views payouts | Platform pays per view | $0.01 to $0.05 per 1,000 views in most estimates; some claim far more | Unverified | Use only as a reach signal. | Uncited |
| 5 | Sponsored posts and Reels (brand deals) | Flat fee per post, Story or Reel | Micro accounts (10K to 100K): about $100 to $500 per feed post (IMH). Sources differ. | Secondary | High. Most common main income. | Influencer Marketing Hub, Elev8or |
| 6 | Creator Marketplace and partnership ads | Brands find creators via Meta's marketplace | No official minimum; brands often filter from about 1,000 followers | Verified tool exists; thresholds secondary | Medium. | Metricool |
| 7 | Affiliate links (tools, apps) | Commission per sale through a link | Reportedly from about 1,000 followers | Secondary | Medium. | Mavely |
| 8 | Digital products (templates and packs) | Customer buys a file or pack once | Example: a 122-template animated pack at $47 on Gumroad. Sales not found. Gumroad fee about 10% + $0.50. | Listing verified sales unverified | High. | Gumroad listing, Schoolmaker |
| 9 | Courses and tutorials | Customer buys a course | One creator self-reports $3,000 to $5,000 a month, mixing deals, files and a course | Unverified, self-reported | Medium-high later. | Posh Hour, Marketsy |
| 10 | Merch (print on demand) | Customer buys a printed item; no upfront stock | Margins not verified | Unverified | Low to medium. | Sellfy, Shopify |
| 11 | Patreon or membership | Fans pay monthly for bonus content | Fee reportedly 5 to 12% (conflicting), plus card fees | Unverified, conflicting | Low to medium. | Schoolmaker |
| 12 | Apps and games | Ads or in-app purchases | A free ball app with in-app purchases had 8 ratings when checked. No current eCPM found. | Secondary | Medium; large build cost. | App Store, Mintegral 2024 |
| 13 | Commissioned animation for brands | Business pays for custom animation (ad, logo reveal, loop) | Not researched | Gap | High; could be first paid work. | Not sourced |
How the sell-at-the-end call works
- Final-frame product reveal. Last second shows the tool used.
- One link in bio, to one page. No clickable caption links.
- "Full version or part 2". Clip stops at a cliffhanger; full run on the link.
- Comment keyword. "Comment RACE for the file." Check Meta's spam rules first.
- Series. Follow for the next round.
Best converter unknown. Test one a week and track clicks.
4. Our approach
Test plan for the next phase. Every choice is a hypothesis until our own batch shows a result.
4.1 Recommended niche and format
- Lead: named-contestant races. Stick figures or balls, each named for a birthday month or star sign. One winner per run, 15 seconds or under, looping. One account runs this (@laststickstanding, read 14 Oct 2026). Closest: accounts #2, #3, #12, #14, #18.
- Secondary: ball versus ball, one power each. Ball Battle (#15) is long-form. A short-loop series is a gap in the sources.
- Filler: bouncing and merging balls. Most crowded genre (#8 to #11). Use as filler.
4.2 Content plan
- Week-one test batch. Three formats, a few clips each, one shared layout.
- Recurring series with fixed names and numbered episodes. E.g. a 12-month league, a 12-sign league, a season table.
- Length and loops. 15 seconds or under, ending where it starts.
- Cadence. Weekly; set frequency at launch.
- Measure per clip. Retention in the first seconds, completion, replays, shares and comments by sign.
- Keep or drop rule. Keep a format that beats our median on those measures; drop one that does not, after a preset clip count.
4.3 Free tooling
| Tool | Use | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Python with free physics and drawing libraries | Physics or drawing that gives the same result every time | Same settings, same result. |
| ffmpeg | Exporting vertical video | Free. |
| Blender | Polish and 3D pieces | Free. Used by satisfying-animation sources. |
| Algodoo | Quick marble and ball tests | Used by marble-race accounts (#3, #4). |
| Our own generated sound, or free-to-use sound libraries | Sound per event | Check each licence. |
Hypothesis Label every clip as an animation or simulation (difference 10).
4.4 Hook formula
| When | What is on screen or in sound | Source | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 to 1 s | The payoff or the field is already visible. All contestant names show in frame 1. | Hook techniques 1 and 2 | Name display is a hypothesis. |
| 0 to 1 s | A question on screen, e.g. "Which sign wins?" | Technique 3 | Sourced |
| 0 to 1 s | Rule card: one line on how the race works, readable with sound off | Technique 12 | Rule card is a hypothesis (difference 6). |
| Whole clip | A progress cue: a track, health bars, or a count of racers left | Technique 6 | To test |
| Whole clip | A sound on each event: a note per merge, bounce or lap | Technique 11 | To test |
| About two-thirds | A twist: a new power or a rule change | Technique 14 | To test |
| Last second | The winner lands and the frame matches the first, so the clip loops | Technique 4 | Sourced |
| End caption | Comment prompt, e.g. "Comment your sign" | Technique 9 | Wording to test. |
| Series end | Cliffhanger into the next round | Technique 16 | To test |
4.5 Monetisation path
- Build the free audience first.
- Digital kit at the end of a series. A race template or simulation script sold as a file. Test a small price first.
- Personalised races on demand. A custom race with the buyer's names. Our idea; price not researched (difference 12).
- Brand deals once there is a steady audience.
- Subscriptions and Gifts only if the account is eligible. Check the Professional Dashboard.
- Affiliate links and merch as small extras.
4.6 Risks
| Risk | Why it matters | What we do |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking rules are unknown | Weights unpublished; Mosseri's comments are second-hand. | Use our own measures. |
| Copycats are easy | The tools are free. | Named racers and seasons are harder to copy (hypothesis). |
| Bouncing-ball genre is crowded | Four accounts, one style (#8 to #11). | Use it as filler, not the lead. |
| Music licensing | Popular tracks may be unlicensed. | Original sound by default. Follow-up. |
| Astrology wording | Star signs can read as claims about people. | Entertainment only. |
| Repetitive content | Stance unverified. | Vary races and series. |
| Old or unverified figures | Most figures are secondary or old. | Check live numbers first. |
| Realism claims | A viral "realistic" clip was a simulation. | Label simulations as simulations. |
| Time cost | Clips are built by hand. | Keep the test batch small. |
| Money | None spent in phase 1. | Any spend needs Sean's approval. |
4.7 Unknowns and follow-ups (not researched)
- Instagram music licensing: which sounds are licensed for us.
- Instagram's originality and reuse policy: whether repetitive content is limited.
- Commissioned-animation rates for brands (monetisation row 13).
- Live follower and view counts (only Wannerstedt, 2019 to 2020).
- Retention benchmarks: sources conflict.
- Best sell-at-the-end call. Test one per week.
- Eligibility for Gifts and Subscriptions, checked in the Professional Dashboard.
5. Unique differences to stand out
Fifteen ideas, all Hypothesis. "None found" means our search missed it, not that none exists.
- A fixed roster of named racers. @laststickstanding already races by birth month and zodiac sign. Ours would use the same named racers in every race so viewers learn each one. Test: replays and comments by racer.
- "Your sign" comment tallies. A pinned tally of comments per sign, updated each episode. Test: with vs without prompt.
- Season and league tables across episodes. Leagues exist on YouTube; no short-form season table seen. Test: do viewers return?
- Recurring characters with one trait per sign. Each sign has a fixed trait that shows in races. Test: favourites named in comments.
- Ball-versus-ball powers as a short loop series with a visible rulebook. Ball Battle is long-form; no short-form version found. Each episode repeats the rule card and adds one power. Test: with vs without card.
- Rule card on screen in the first second. Short rule text in frame 1, readable with sound off. Test: with vs without.
- Re-runs viewers can ask for. Every run starts from a fixed setup, so it can be repeated exactly; viewers ask for a re-run with a new setup. Test: re-run requests.
- Viewers pick the winner before the run. Pause, ask "pick a winner", then show the result. Test: with vs without prompt.
- Original sound for each event. Our own generated notes, one per event. Test: replays with and without.
- An honest "simulation" label. Every clip says whether it is an animation or simulation. Test: "is it real?" comments.
- Instagram-native vertical framing and keeping text clear of the screen edges. Test: text on a phone screen.
- Personalised races on demand. A custom race with the buyer's names, delivered as a video. Price not researched. Any sale needs Sean's approval.
- A digital kit at the end of a series. Template packs exist (monetisation #8); none for races found. Test one listing price first.
- Tournament brackets across the week, ending in a final. Tournaments exist on YouTube. Test: finals vs weekday replays and shares.
- Accessibility: colour-blind-safe palettes and large labels. Rarely seen in the sources. Test: colour-blindness simulator.
Last Stick Standing (@laststickstanding)
Closest public match to the named-racer idea: stick-figure races where the viewer picks a category (birth month, zodiac sign, name initial, country). Researched 14 October 2026. The 13 Oct reel and five YouTube Shorts were watched, so their race structure is Observed; other reels were read as captions and counts only.
Correction Earlier statements that no such race exists predate this account and are superseded.
Account facts
| Field | Value | Source and date |
|---|---|---|
| Handle and display name | @laststickstanding, "Last Stick Standing" | Official profile, read 14 Oct 2026 |
| Followers / following | 2,121 / 0 | Official snapshot, 14 Oct 2026 |
| Visible posts | 5 reels, dated 9 to 13 Oct 2026 (account about five days old) | Official |
| Bio | "Multiple enters. Only one wins." / "Stickman races through deadly courses" / "Pick your country, month or more" | Official |
| Link in bio | YouTube channel "Last Stick Standing". No subscriber count was found; five Shorts were watched. | Official link; Unverified channel size |
| Views | Not visible on any Instagram reel. The five YouTube Shorts show 1,100 to 1,500 views each. | Official snapshot, 14 Oct 2026 |
| Sale or product | None visible | Official (none seen) |
Recent reels and reach
| Date (2026) | Category in the caption | Caption (short) | Likes | Comments | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct | Month | "Which Month Wins the Stickman Race?" | 192 | 13 | Official |
| 12 Oct | Name initial, Part 1 | "Which Name Initial Wins the Stickman Race? Part 1" | 1.5K | 84 | Official |
| 11 Oct | Zodiac sign | "Which Zodiac Sign Wins the Stickman Race?" | 43.2K | 2.4K | Official |
| 10 Oct | Birth month, castle theme | "Which Birth Month Wins the Stickman Race? Castle Edition" | 116.9K | 3.8K | Official |
| 9 Oct | Not readable | Not readable | - | - | - |
Reach: the 10 Oct reel has 116.9K likes on 2,121 followers, about 55 times the follower count, so most reach is from the recommendation feed. Comments are about 3% of likes on that reel and 6% on the 11 Oct reel (our calculation).
Format, hook, pacing and staging
| Element | What the page shows | Label |
|---|---|---|
| Format | Stick-figure race. The viewer names a category and where their pick finished. | Official caption; Observed race mechanics on the Shorts and the 13 Oct reel |
| Series | The same question is repeated across categories; one caption is numbered "Part 1". | Official |
| Theme | "Castle Edition" on the 10 Oct reel; themed Shorts (castle, zodiac, country). Theme changes per post. | Official titles |
| Hook (1 to 3 s) | The caption opens with a question naming the viewer's own category. Screen unknown. | Official caption; screen Unverified |
| Length and loop | About 54 s on the Shorts and the 13 Oct reel. Loop unchecked. | Observed length; Unverified loop |
| Pacing | One knock-out about every 3 to 5 s, from 12 racers down to one (from the on-screen counter). | Observed (within one racer) |
| Entrants | 12 racers per race (one per category value). | Observed on the Shorts |
| Staging | "Deadly courses" in the bio: obstacles knock racers out (castle archers, striped ramp, flames, a giant mallet). Camera follows the pack. | Observed on the Shorts |
| Winner reveal | Last three reach the finish line at about 47 to 50 s; winner's name and confetti close. | Observed on the Shorts |
| Sound | "Original audio" on the 13 Oct reel. | Official |
| Hashtags | #stickman #stickmanrace #animation #satisfying #LastStickStanding; #zodiacsigns and #birthmonth on two reels. | Official |
| Call to action | Comment your category and where it finished. Bio points to the YouTube channel. | Official |
What we copy
- A question hook that names the viewer's own category ("Which sign wins?"). Official on the top reels; comment effect Inference.
- One repeatable template, with a theme swap per post (castle edition). Unverified from one caption.
- A numbered series ("Part 1"), so there is a reason to watch the next one. Official caption.
- A clear finish order at the end, so the viewer can find their pick. Unverified.
- Original audio, not licensed music. Official label on one reel.
- One hashtag set plus one account tag. Official hashtags; effect Unverified.
What we differ on
- Show the winner's name in the first second, not only in the caption. Hypothesis Untested; the first frame is not known.
- A one-line reason for each entrant, e.g. a birthday-month trait. Hypothesis
- End on a choice for the next round ("rematch with your sign"), not only a comment. Hypothesis
- A fixed length and a fixed racer count (e.g. 15 s), so the format is easy to repeat and test. Hypothesis
- Sell one thing at the end. No product is visible on this account. Hypothesis Phase 2 only; any sale needs Sean's approval.
- Separate themes per category family (months, signs, countries). Hypothesis
Open items
- Watch the 10, 11 and 12 Oct reels: loop, and first 3 s on mute.
- Read the YouTube subscriber count in a browser.
- Views are not public.
Sources
- Instagram profile (read 14 Oct 2026, Official). 13 Oct reel, 12 Oct reel, 11 Oct reel, 10 Oct reel (captions and counts, Official).
- YouTube channel (linked from the bio).
- Our own research notes on this account are kept with the project.
Sample video
Made by our own code. Nothing posted.
Sample race: six foods with obstacles
Six foods race while the camera follows. Every few seconds an obstacle hits and one food is knocked out. The last food standing wins. 26 seconds, with sound. Each obstacle is named at the bottom, e.g. "Arrow blade". Made from scratch, with no watermark. Setup file.
Who is in the race and what knocks them out
| Out at (s) | Racer | Obstacle that hits it | Same round, dodged by the others | Left after |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | Sushi | Arrow | Arrow, blade | 5 |
| 10.2 | Fries | Wave | Rock, chomp | 4 |
| 13.9 | Burger | Spikes | Blade, ball | 3 |
| 17.6 | Donut | Wave | Rock, fork | 2 |
| 21.3 | Pizza | Spikes | Blade, pan, chomp | 1 |
| 24.0 | Taco (winner) | None; it reaches the finish line | 1 (winner) |
Observed Frames at 7.5, 12, 15, 18 and 22.5 s show "Sushi out" (5 left), "Fries out" (4 left), "Burger out" (3 left), "Donut out" (2 left) and "Pizza out" (1 left); the finish line is in frame at 22.5 s. Frames at 24.2 and 25.5 s show "Taco wins!" and the call to action. Unverified Knockout times and dodges come from our build notes, not checked on video.
Automatic check (a script that tests the video): reads version 2 as a knockout clip. Passes 8 of 8 hard checks: 26 s (allowed 15 to 30 s), ends on the winner, each of 5 rounds has one victim, Taco survives. 31 items still need a person to watch them.
What the competitor races do (read from video)
Observed in full frames or readable thumbnails. Unverified once on a thumbnail grid, or inferred. Times are about ±2 s and ±1 racer. Source: our notes from the competitor review, read 14 Oct 2026.
- Observed 9:16 vertical, about 54 s, 12 racers per race. Side-on track, diagonal; the camera scrolls down with the pack, no zoom-out.
- Observed Beats: opening card "Pick your ..." with "Only one winner" (0 to 2 s), countdown 3, 2, 1 (2 to 4 s), start (4 to 5 s), knockouts (about 8 to 47 s), the last three reach the finish line (47 to 50 s), then the winner's name and confetti to the end (50 to 54 s).
- Observed On screen: "N left" counter top-left; "[NAME] out" banner with a skull icon top-right; "[NAME] leader knocked out" when the leader falls.
Racers left by time
| Race (YouTube Short) | 10 s | 20 s | 30 s | 40 s | 50 s | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birthday month (same race as the 13 Oct video) | 10 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 3 | December |
| Birth month, castle | 10 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 3 | March |
| Zodiac sign | 11 | 9 to 10 | 7 | 5 | 3 | Libra |
| Country | 10 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | Australia |
Observed on-screen counts, about ±1 racer. The birthday-month Short and the 13 Oct video share the same sequence and winner; not pixel-identical (Unverified).
Obstacles and how they knock racers out
| # | Obstacle (our name) | Where seen | How it knocks racers out | How sure we are |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 | Castle archer volley | Zodiac race, about 8 to 9 s | Arrows hit the racer, who is knocked flat and lies still | Observed |
| H2 | Striped hot ramp | Zodiac race, about 22 to 23 s | Racer runs onto the striped slope, is burnt, and drops prone | Observed |
| H3 | Flame strip on slope | Zodiac race, about 30 to 33 s | Racer runs through flames on a steep slope and goes down | Observed |
| H4 | Giant mallet | Country race, about 26 s | A hammer swings down and flattens the racer | Observed |
| H5 | Clown head | Country race, about 35 to 36 s | A head sits over the track; the racer is knocked out nearby | Unverified mechanic |
| H6 | Purple slime puddle | Country race, about 36 s | Racers that touch the puddle go out | Unverified |
| H7 | Spike slope (icicles) | Month race, about 6 to 9 s | Racers slide off the white spikes | Unverified one sheet |
| H8 | Rolling boulder or snowball | Month and castle races, about 17 to 19 s and 38 to 41 s | A round object rolls down the track and knocks racers out | Unverified one sheet |
| H9 | Red and white bar | Zodiac and country races | Probably a trip or spring pad | Unverified shape only |
Observed knockout mechanics: H1 to H4 only. Others need a closer look at the video frames before we copy them.
- What we take: the same timing plan (opening card, start at 1.5 s, one knockout every 3 to 5 s, finish line, winner to the end). Hypothesis
Stick-figure race sample
Second clip, stick-figure style: 12 star signs as stick figures (castle theme), 15 seconds, vertical 1080x1920, one winner, one call to action. Layout follows Last Stick Standing. The first frame and pacing are not checked yet. Setup file: setup file.
6. Next steps: a 30-day test plan
Phase-2 plan, if Sean approves. Every number is an assumption until our analytics show a result.
6.1 Chosen niche
- Lead: named racers. Stick figures named by birthday month or star sign, one winner per run, 15 seconds or under, looping.
- Only public example: @laststickstanding, 2,121 followers Official, 14 Oct 2026.
- Second: ball versus ball, one power each. Backup: bouncing and merging balls.
6.2 First 10 video ideas
Hypothesis Technique numbers refer to the hook list in section 2.
| # | Title | Hook (0 to 2 s) | Name set | Twist (about two-thirds) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birthday Month Sprint | "Your birth month is racing. Watch it finish." Names on frame 1 (technique 1) | 12 birthday months | A shortcut card: the last racer jumps to second |
| 2 | Star Sign Sprint | "Which sign wins? Comment yours." Question on screen (technique 3) | 12 star signs | A gust pushes the leader back one lane |
| 3 | Zodiac Week 1 Table | "Week 1 standings. Who leads?" Numbered episode | 12 star signs | Last place gets a reverse lap |
| 4 | Month Knockout | "12 months, 6 rounds. Who goes first?" Rules card (technique 12) | 12 birthday months | Each knocked-out month returns once as a wildcard |
| 5 | Final Three | "Three signs left. One lap to go." | 3 star signs from the season table | The final lap runs backwards |
| 6 | Blind Finish | "Guess the winner before the flag." Names hidden until the finish | 12 star signs | Names reveal at the flag, and the winner's sign flashes |
| 7 | Fire vs Water | "Each ball has one power. One wins." Ball battle, the second format | 4 elements: fire, water, air, earth | Powers swap |
| 8 | Merge Race | "Two signs merge into one. Who wins?" | 12 star signs in pairs | The merged ball keeps the faster racer's power |
| 9 | Relay Months | "Four months, one baton." | 12 birthday months in teams of 3 | A dropped baton sends that team back to the start |
| 10 | Two-Lap Loop | "Two laps. The first frame comes back." Seamless loop (technique 4) | 6 birthday months | A lead change on lap two |
6.3 Posting cadence
- One clip a day for 30 days, at 18:00 local Hypothesis.
- Days 1 to 10: ideas 1 to 10. Days 11 to 30: the best name set and format, new twist daily.
- One screen layout throughout; say on every clip that it is an animation, not real footage.
6.4 Free tools only
- Animation maker: our own program, built in this project. Start from the stick-figure star-sign setup file, then run it to make each video.
- Checks: a script tests each video automatically; a person then watches each clip.
- Other: Python with Pillow and numpy, ffmpeg, original or free-to-use sound.
6.5 End card and monetisation order
One ask per end card. Order follows section 4.5.
| Stage | When | End card ask | Sale |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Build the audience | Days 1 to 14 | "Comment your sign." | None |
| 2. Follow prompt | Days 15 to 30 | "Follow for the next season." | None |
| 3. Race kit | After day 30, once data shows a steady base | "Link in bio for the race kit." | One small price test. Fees not checked. |
| 4. Later offers | After the kit works | Personalised race on request, then brand deals | Subscriptions or Gifts only if the account is eligible |
6.6 Success measures after 30 days
| Measure | How we read it | Target |
|---|---|---|
| Completion (watched to the end) | Per clip, from the platform's analytics | Beat our own median from days 1 to 14 |
| Replays and shares | Per clip | Beat our own median |
| Comments naming a sign | Count per clip | Beat our own median |
| Follower growth | Weekly, against a day-14 baseline | A rise in each of the four weeks |
| Kit sales (after stage 3) | Count | One sale proves it; none, revisit the offer |
Keep or drop Keep a format that beats our median on two of the first four measures; drop it after 10 clips if not.
6.7 Open items
- Sample audio needs a listen (computer-made tones; checklist items A1 and A2).
- 11 outside links block automatic checkers; open them in a browser.
- Phase 2 needs Sean's approval: account, posting, spend.
- Not researched: payment method and fees for a kit.
Sources and notes
- Research notes: 19 accounts, 16 hook and retention techniques, 13 monetisation methods, and our approach (plan, differences and follow-ups).
- Public web only; no login and no automated copying. Instagram's help pages only loaded the home page, so claims about Meta's rules come second-hand.
- Re-check any figure before a decision.